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Monday, July 22, 2013 

Alleged Israeli submarine attack on Syria should serve as a warning to Iran

Tom Gross wrote in The Weekly Standard about a special attack on a Syrian armory containing Russian-made weapons that may have been conducted by Israel, and could send a serious message to Iran about their nuclear warfare:
Israel fears that the Iran situation is becoming critical at the exact same time when there has been a lowering of the sense of urgency among many Western officials. Many in the West have become distracted from the Iranian nuclear issue due to a focus on events in Egypt, Syria, and elsewhere, coupled with the election last month of the regime-approved Hassan Rouhani as Iran’s new president, whom Netanyahu called “a wolf in sheep’s clothing.” In Israel Rouhani is viewed as far more sly and dangerous than the outgoing Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who often embarrassed himself with outrageous statements about the Holocaust, homosexuals, and so on.

Israel believes that a nuclear Shia Islamic regime in Tehran will not only prove to be a threat to the entire region and beyond, but it will almost certainly result in nuclear proliferation among the Sunni powers such as Saudi Arabia (who could simply buy a nuclear arsenal from fellow Sunni Pakistan) and Egypt, states which are liable to become far less stable in future. (Israel is believed to have had nuclear weapons for the last 50 years but it has never threatened to use them – or even acknowledged their existence – and it is only the specter of Iran gaining them that now so worries the Arab states.)
I'd just note that the House of Saud, Egypt and Pakistan have been as unstable as can be for a long time already, and there's a legitimate question of whether they could achieve nuclear warfare as well. That too is something to worry about.

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